Study goals
This article analyzes the possible impacts on the profitability of photovoltaic distributed energy generation projects resulting from changes in the sector's regulatory framework.
Relevance / originality
The positive effects of photovoltaic energy, whose supply is still very low in the country, are notorious. Even so, the National Electric Energy Agency (Aneel), out of line with the best international practices, proposes a regulatory change whose results are not yet fully identified.
Methodology / approach
The present research constitutes a case study about the profitability of a shared photovoltaic power micro generation plant. A simulation was carried out consisting of different scenarios of energy prices and tariffs on the energy consumed.
Main results
It became evident that, under current conditions, distributed photovoltaic energy generation is financially very attractive to investors. In addition, it was found that the introduction of a high tariff may prevent new investments in the segment.
Theoretical / methodological contributions
The analysis model incorporates modern finance instruments and the methodology developed allows new simulations to be carried out as Aneel places its tariff proposal more clearly.
Social / management contributions
The article shows the fearfulness of a major change in the tariff regime. In this sense, it refers to the need for caution in changing a system that has been showing great dynamism, generates clean and renewable energy and promotes regional growth, in a period of GDP stagnation and high levels of unemployment.